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Justin Liles' Weather Forecast

Justin Liles Justin Liles | 

StormTeam Outlook: Tuesday, February 19th, 2018
Chief Meteorologist Justin Liles jliles@wdio.com

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Snow Arrives Tonight & Tomorrow!

The ongoing forecast is presenting many challenges with snowfall totals coming tonight and tomorrow.  My thought as you can see from the satellite image below is centered around the amount of ice in Lake Superior. This image was taken today and you can see there is a good amount of ice in the lake.  This promotes drier air and should in theory help to cut off moisture being funneled in with easterly winds during the day on Wednesday.  It should also help steer the majority of the moisture and heavier snow farther south.  Models aren't in good agreement with location snow.  One of them paints the heaviest snow on the north shore while not accounting of the ice.  This seems to be the model being used the most right now.   Two of the other models are taking the system farther south which means less snow for the shoreline of Lake Superior.  I still think areas of the North Shore could see 2-4" of snow with some higher amounts because of more open water near Finland and Silver Bay.  However, the winds will be NE which would funnel it into the head of the lake and over the ice to be modified.  The model painting the heaviest snow on the north shore has recently come down in totals too, indicating a shift.  Regardless, Wednesday travel will be slick.  The early am travel might be ok as the snow appears to want to start around 7am.  Please keep in mind that timing of this system is an issue.  Late afternoon and evening travel will be a mess.

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